Wipro Q4 results and outlook

April 18, 2008 – 4:29 pm

Wipro, India’s third-largest software services exporter, reported a slightly smaller-than-expected 1.7 percent rise in quarterly net profit, and forecast muted growth amid fears a weak U.S. economy will hit outsourcing demand. Here is what is happening according to CFO of Wipro.

ON THE U.S. SLOWDOWN:

“we have seen some form softened in the last few weeks. We are saying we are a little cautiously optimistic.

“We think, by talking to various customers, that offshoring will continue to be the main driver for them, particularly to deal with the lower or flattish budgets that they have.”

ON CLIENTS’ IT BUDGETS:

“In the dipstick we have done, customers are talking about flattish, to maybe slightly lower budgets, but they are all wanting to do more offshoring. And we are expecting that more and more offshoring will happen soon after this so-called uncertain situation disappears.”

ON MARGIN OUTLOOK FOR FY2008/09:

“What we are saying is that we will be able to hold, to expand margins.”

ON PRICING:

“The blended (average) price declined by 0.9 percent in Q4, quarter on quarter. However, so far, as far as we continue to get 4-5 percent higher rates from new customers. Overall, pricing looks to be stable, with a positive bias.”

ON GROWTH:

“We would expect more of the growth back-ended, and the deal pipeline looks good. But since the decision-making could get delayed, given the uncertain situation, we think most of the fructification would happen after 3-6 months, and therefore the growth will be more back-ended.”

Changing roles of center of excellence (CoE) in global outsourcing

April 17, 2008 – 1:59 am

According to a recent report in TMCnet, more and more outsourcing companies are aligning their delivery operations along centers of excellence (CoE) - building and leveraging specialized skills within their organizations. Firms use CoE to facilitate knowledge sharing and capability building in niche areas such as pharmaceuticals, automobile, telecom or for specific functions like innovation, technology, R&D, testing, etc. The adoption of CoEs by outsourcing companies has been a recent phenomenon, but is rapidly gaining traction. The model is offering service providers much-needed flexibility, productivity, cost and resource efficiency in managing their increasingly global businesses. It is also finding better acceptance among buyers.

For the moment, the large-scale acceptance suggests that the concept is likely to witness rapid growth over the next few years. A large number of buyers and suppliers will organize their activities around CoEs to gain from economies of scale and to leverage other strategic advantages.

The CoE served to centralize resources, standardize processes, share strategic knowledge and more importantly, put in place a roadmap to sustain and develop operational excellence. The choice of locations was strategic - e.g., India allowed rapid scalability from an abundant manpower pool.

Changing Roles In Global Sourcing

The service provider is being increasingly seen in the role of a strategic partner , aligned with the buyer s business objectives such as cost reduction, efficiency improvement, process re-engineering, innovation and business continuity. Contract sizes have been reducing and the large mega-deals of the past are getting restructured into smaller contracts to multiple vendors, often to specialized service providers who are best-in-breed. Vendors are expected to be able to provide services from multiple locations around the world and at times, expected to partner with competitors, acting as active participants in the clients business, rather than mere executors of contracts.

Going Forward, it sounds like a win-win situation for the client and the vendor, there are several challenges in operating a successful center of excellence, mostly related to implementation and sustainability. Setting up a CoE can be highly cost-intensive and necessitates a comprehensive business plan for the longer term, to transform the CoE from a cost center to a profitable unit. Consequently, skeptics question the capability of an excellence center to succeed in the absence of broader organizational maturity.

More details can be read in this report.

Some Numbers Related to Outsourcing

April 12, 2008 – 1:37 pm

A recent MSNBC report provides some interesting numbers related to outsouring:

  • For every 1 dollar spent on offshoring, the U.S. gets back $1.12 (and the global economy reaps another 33 cents), according to a report from McKinsey consultants. The reasoning: As more workers in India and other poor contry land higher-paying jobs, they can afford to buy more U.S. products, from processor chips to Hollywood films. By spreading the wealth, offshoring makes life a little better in some of the poorest regions of the world.
  • In last three years the U.S. has lost 400,000 service and 1 million manufacturing jobs to offshoring, accordin to Goldman Sachs.
  • Some 3.3 million white-collar jobs (and $136 billion in wages) will flee the U.S. in the next ten years, Forrester Research says.
  • up to 14 million U.S. jobs are vulnerable to offshoring, say researchers at the University of California, Berkeley.

To read full story.

One-Stop Offshore Outsourcing

April 11, 2008 – 9:45 pm

Driven by the increasing globalization of business, companies utilize offshoring and outsourcing to transform the way they grow their business. This is creating opportunities for more locations globally to attract enterprises and outsourcing service providers to set up in their country.

Top Selection Criteria for Outsourcing Location

Firms are looking to locations that meet a number of prerequisites including political stability and a highly skilled workforce with the ability to grow as the level of offshoring industry grows. Emphases this point place quality as the primary requirement above price. Other key factors are as follows:

  • Quality
  • Labor Cost
  • English Language Skills
  • Good International Optical/Internet links
  • Competitive Information Communication Technologies
  • Strong Protection of IT and Implementation of WTO Rules
  • Government Incentives

Interestingly, government incentives assisting in the profit and capital repatriation, tax breaks and other incentives are a relatively low priority.

One-Stop Offshore Outsourcing: A New Winning Business Model?

Although price remains a top-three selection criterion and enterprises are looking past incentives offered, this indicates that a competitive price in combination with a skilled workforce is the winner and not price
alone.

In order to gaining a share of the global outsourcing pie, Dubai paints a picture of a high-quality, multilingual, competitively priced, skilled workforce. It looks to portray itself as a high-quality location, offering access to a skilled talent pool at competitive prices.

Here are some key elements of Dubai’s business model;

  • provide a prebuilt IT and communications infrastructure (called the Plug and Play Center), enabling companies to start operations with minimal upfront investment, plus subsidized office space and accommodations for workers.
  • focuse on attracting companies engaged in high-value-added BPO and ITO services. This includes customer care, finance and accounting (including payroll processing), human resources, transaction processing, IT services, back-office operations, graphic design, engineering and research and development (R&D). Dubai has built a customized facility for companies looking to outsource R&D operations.
  • provide disaster recovery (DR), security and hosting services via another subsidiary of TECOM Investments also known as DataFort. The entity focuses on providing an outsourcing service dedicated to IT infrastructure, managed hosting services and a range of IT support services that companies would like to outsource to a more dedicated party.
  • offer a number of incentives, including lower real-estate costs, corporate tax exemptions (for a period of 50 years), full currency convertibility, no limits on capital or profits repatriation and 100% company ownership
  • offer a fast-track immigration process, including a 24-hour visa service.

Why efforts to send IT work anywhere but Bangalore are taking on added urgency?

April 10, 2008 – 1:35 am

According to a recent study published in businessweek, Companies that traditionally rely on India for offshore IT services have been looking for that something beyond India for some time, citing such reasons as high employee turnover and unreliable communications. But the search has taken on added urgency recently, especially for U.S. companies, as a weakening dollar has boosted the cost of IT services priced in India’s rupee.

How much longer the world’s companies will have financial incentive to outsource to India is a matter of lively debate. India’s “advantage as an offshore location is fast eroding—its attractiveness takes a hit with each passing day,” according to a January, 2008 report by Forrester Research. Some of the well-known challenges catalogued include increasing staffing costs, turnover and strained infrastructure. Yet, there are newer challenges as well, including the falling dollar and expected tax revisions that may increase the cost of relying on outsourcing providers.

The Search for Lower Costs

Make no mistake: India remains an IT outsourcing powerhouse, with $17.7 billion in software and IT services exports in 2005, compared with $3.6 billion for China and $1 billion for Russia, according to trade organizations in each country. And India’s outsourcing industry is still growing at a faster pace than that of Russia and other wannabe Bangalores.

Yet many companies can’t resist the lure of cheaper labor. “Ninety percent of all outsourcing deals in the market today have been structured around cost improvement only,” says Linda Cohen, vice-president of sourcing research at consulting firm Gartner. By the third year of an outsourcing deal, after all the costs have been squeezed out, companies get antsy to find a new locale with an even lower overhead.

Indeed, while costs are increasing in India, the country is generally less expensive than Latin America and most other locations, especially for companies that don’t require high-end software developers. The average annual salary for an IT worker in the U.S. is about $75,000, an outsourcing consulting firm. In India it’s about $7,779 and in Argentina, it’s slightly higher at $9,478. In Brazil, the annual wage jumps to $13,163, and in Mexico it climbs to $17,899.

Benefiting from Geography

Dalian, a seaport in northeast China, is turning out to be an ideal center for outsourcing, in large part because of its geography and history. Located in the northeast corner of China, Dalian is close to both Korea and Japan and was, in the first half of the 20th century, occupied by Japan. So there’s still a labor pool of Japanese speakers.

Intellectual Property Issues

Dalian’s labor costs are lower than in Japan, so it’s become a center for application development for Japanese companies. U.S. firms outsource some technology work there as well. General Electric (GE) and Nissan (NSANF) outsource work to Genpact’s operations in Dalian. Genpact was the first outsourcing firm to locate in the city in June, 2000. Accenture and IBM Global Services have since moved in.

There are certainly challenges for companies that wish to outsource to China, including the potential theft of intellectual property. To combat this, Infosys Technologies has disabled USB drives on PCs to limit the ability of workers to take data out of the office. “We’ve taken extraordinary efforts to protect the intellectual property of our clients,” says Stephen Pratt, CEO Infosys Consulting, a subsidiary of Infosys Technologies, which has operations in Shanghai.

Spreading Out Work In Several Nations

Many firms are eecognizing that it may not be a good idea to locate all outsourcing in one country, or even a single region, many companies spread work among several sites. On Mar. 31, Royal Dutch Shell announced a $4 billion outsourcing arrangement. The oil company awarded about one-fourth of the total to Electronic Data Systems (EDS), which over five years will handle computing services for 150,000 users in more than 100 countries. The bulk of the work will be done in 4 places, the Netherlands, Britain, Malaysia, and the U.S. While EDS has thousands of workers in India and some of the work could possibly be done there, the company is actually hiring 1,000 workers in Malaysia for this project, an EDS spokesperson says.

Increasingly, companies want a provider that can nimbly shift tasks and labor among its own global network of work centers. “The real question, if you’re going to sign onto somebody for five to seven years, is do they have a vision for how they’re going to move work around the network,” says Kevin Campbell, group chief executive for outsourcing at Accenture (ACN). With more than 40 centers, Accenture has the ability to shift work as market demands change.

Infrastructure Counts

Brazil boasts a mature software and IT industry, and the nation’s providers such as Politec, Stefanini IT, and ActMinds are keen to do more offshore business. Stefanini, which has served clients such as Whirlpool (WHR) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), derives about 20% of its revenue from international operations, but the company would like to expand that to 50% by 2008.

Total Brazilian software and IT services revenue is $17.16 billion, while revenue from offshore software development is a much smaller $205.3 million, according to Brazil IT, an association of Brazilian IT services providers. “If we can get a client interested enough that they will go to Brazil, they will do business with us,” says Eric Olsson, principal consultant with Politec, which has done work for clients such as insurer MetLife (MET), software colossus Microsoft (MSFT), and SAIC (SAI), a provider of a host of scientific and engineering services. Companies are drawn to Brazil’s modern infrastructure, with airports and highways that are first world, says Olsson, whose company is the largest IT services provider in Brazil.

Good roads and the developers who drive on them don’t come cheap, though. A software engineer in Brazil costs $20 to $35 per hour. That’s lower than in the U.S. but pricier than in India.

Threat to U.S. Workers

And while a technically skilled global labor force is a boon to companies, the picture isn’t so rosy for U.S. workers. Instead of competing with just India, now U.S. IT workers will need to go up against workers all over the world. In 2005, about 24% of North American companies used offshore providers to meet some of their software needs, according to Forrester Research. Over the next five years, spending on offshore IT services is set to increase at a compound annual growth rate of 18%, according to IDC.

The effect in the U.S. is that starting salaries in the engineering field—when adjusted for inflation—have stayed constant or decreased in the past five years or so, says Vivek Wadhwa, executive in residence at Duke University. “It doesn’t make much sense to get into programming anymore,” says Wadhwa, who worries that a lack of talent in certain industries, such as telecom, along with the outsourcing of research and development will erode U.S. competitiveness. But U.S. companies say that hiring programmers in India, who might make a fifth of what programmers do in the U.S., allows the companies to survive in a globally competitive economy.

After traveling the world, Ping Identity’s Wood finally settled on Luxoft, an outsourcing provider based in Moscow that has served high-profile clients such as Boeing (BA), Citigroup’s (C) Citibank, and Dell (DELL). While programmers are typically 20% more expensive in Moscow than in Bangalore, Wood found that there wasn’t much difference in the hourly rate for the kind of work that he needed. “Indian companies are cheap until you ask for people with experience, and we wanted workers with eight years or more of experience,” he says.

Russia’s high-end software developers are drawing plenty of offshore business to Moscow and St. Petersburg, which together account for about 60% of the country’s software development exports. Those exports have grown from $352 million in 2002 to nearly $1 billion in 2005, according to RUSSOFT, an association of software development firms from Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine. Providers EPAM and Luxoft are starting to gain some international recognition as well, both making Brown & Wilson’s Top 50 Best Managed Global Outsourcing Vendors for the first time in 2006.

For Wood, the biggest benefit of working with Luxoft is a cultural one. “One of the reasons we’re in Russia is that we found a common value set. Their work ethic is strong, and these people are very outspoken,” says Wood. He says engineers in Moscow have no trouble proposing a different course of action when necessary. He says he found workers in Bangalore to be reticent. And since Russian developers stick around longer—turnover is now in the low teens—Wood has plenty of time to take those opinions to heart.

China’s competitiveness according to AmCham

April 8, 2008 – 4:33 am

A recent study by Booz Allen & AmCham Shanghai offers some very interesting data.

Most interestingly, study revealed that firms saw access to the China market as the #1 reason for investing in China; whereas labor cost savings ranked #2.

Top 5 things where China is more attractive to the alternatives include: (1) availability of supply base, (2) IT Infrastructure, (3) market growth, (4) logistics infrastructure, and (5) size of market.

Among the studys other key findings:

 

 

 

Still room for improving operations: The study found that three out of four companies lack fundamental best practices in their China operations, including integrating the dual functions of export platforms and domestic market penetration. Survey respondents cited a number of best practices that have yet to be fully applied in China. Just 11 percent reported fully applying integrated planning systems such as enterprise resource planning (ERP) software and material requirement planning (MRP). Even fewer companies - only 7 percent - had fully deployed analytical inventory calculation tools and processes, and 4 percent employed best practices for supply chain risk management.

       
     

Competitiveness in multiple areas declining : More than half, or 54 percent, of companies surveyed believe that China is losing its competitiveness to other low-cost countries. Seven out of 10 respondents cited the rising renminbi as a major reason for China’s decline, while wage inflation was cited by 52 percent of those polled. Wages for white-collar managers and blue-collar workers have jumped 9.1 percent and 7.6 percent, respectively. Staff retention is also a major concern, with 33 percent of respondents citing it as a reason for lost competitiveness.

       
      At the same time that costs are increasing, China is lagging behind global standards in many operational dimensions, most notably in logistics infrastructure, trade environment, access to technology, management capabilities, and protection of intellectual property.
       
 

 

 

Growing companies eyeing Vietnam and India: Nearly one in five companies surveyed (17 percent) say they have concrete plans to relocate at least some of their China-based operations to other countries. Although 88 percent of these corporations say that they originally chose China for its lower labor costs, they are finding that cheaper labor and tax benefits have made alternative locations more attractive. Among these corporations, Vietnam is the top alternative to China, according to 63 percent of this group, while 37 percent say India is their first choice.

       
      Among all respondents, when asked to compare China to alternate countries, they cited lower labor costs in those other countries as the largest differentiator, at 3.7 out of a scale of 5, indicating that China’s reputation as a source of cheap manufacturing labor is diminishing. However, the alternative countries lag China in market potential and infrastructure.
       
 

 

 

Majority firms staying in China: Despite the rising costs of manufacturing in China, 83 percent of manufacturers said they will maintain their operations in the country. China’s vast domestic market was cited by 78 percent of respondents as the reason to maintain the status quo, while 39 percent were unwilling to establish a new supply chain, motivating them to remain in China.

Number of IT Graduates In China

March 25, 2008 – 11:08 am

Many came to realize China may play a key offshore role because the workforce, ample and eager to learn new things, is just simply staggering.

The staggering figures from China’s Ministry of Education indicate the number of IT-qualified graduates in China have actually surpassed the equivalent figures in India in 2006 and is widening that gap every year. Thanks to a combination of government support and foreign investment, there are now 53 high-tech development parks and 29 specialised software parks around the country.

Number of IT Graduates in China